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October 2nd, 2022 | Issue 150 |
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This week, inflation once again reminded us of its stronghold on market sentiment and direction as several domestic economic reports and foreign banks showed the elongated effect the latest inflation levels have had. But even closer to home, I saw its impact firsthand. The balcony in our home has been in need of repair for some time and as summer went on, I contacted a few contractors to receive estimates for the job. While I factored in some price hikes due to inflation, I was not expecting manual labor and parts to have ballooned this much in price! Shocked by the prices of my local handyman, I took my efforts online and sought several second opinions. Angie's list, and apps alike, brought me to similar and even pricier conclusions. Somehow, the new standard for work was a minimum of $1000 a day, even if the job took less than half of that! Ultimately, I was reminded of an Ayn Rand character who took on physical labor during a labor strike in order to accomplish the work he wanted and had originally planned to hire out. The arch showed the joy of taking action into your own hands and accomplishing your goals when exterior forces appear against you. Over the weekend, I had some time and did just that. After cleaning off the balcony, I headed to Home Depot to rent the proper power tools. As I removed the tiles, sanded the ground, and began replacing the tiles, I began to feel a growing sense of accomplishment. The process was not easy by any means but attainable the more I put into it, growing my confidence as the process went on exponentially. For example, if you would've seen me with the concrete sander when I first turned it on, you would've thought I could have better luck taming a wild horse - for the life of me, I could not reign control of the sanding machine. But with no outs and only myself to depend on, I knew I had to figure it out. I regained control of the sander, found the right setting, and settled into a nice groove as I continued my home improvement project. And that's just how it goes. Sometimes, you've got to take things into your own hands to get them done. However, sometimes you are able to be part of a group heading towards a specific goal - working in tandem. That is why I recommend being part of a trading community where you can discuss and dissect with others. This is exactly what we did in my latest Strategy Roundtable, which we hold weekly on YellowTunnel. I recommend checking out our latest Roundtable webinar in its entirety below: |
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How To Trade a Bear Market Strategy Roundtable With the unpredictable nature of the market and the uncertainty ahead of us, I can't emphasize enough how vital it is for our readers and members of the Yellow Tunnel community to keep referring to our Live Trading Room so as to maintain a close tie of how our I and my AI platform is navigating us in and out of select trades. It's FREE and I highly encourage everyone to sign up to the Live Trading Room and keep checking in throughout the trading day. Every Monday and Wednesday, I highlight our best strategies and potential trading setups via the DISCORD server. It's the future of bringing together a trading community's total services, educational products, live chat venues, support, news, how-to tutorials, webinars, live-trading demonstrations, and tons of market analysis. It is incredibly interactive and full of crucial and timely information. Just go to: |
https://discord.gg/YjBfkaqGGu I also want to emphasize to traders how vital a stop-loss discipline is to winning and being successful in an unforgiving market. We employ specific stop-loss instructions with every trade. The buy and sell programs controlled by high-frequency related algorithms can create great profits or cause sudden losses, so it is imperative to maintain an element of controlling risk with each trade. |
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| Vlad Karpel
YellowTunnel and Tradespoon Founder |
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P.S. Click here for access to the Power Trading Live Strategy Roundtable Recorded every Thursday. P.P.S. Join our Discord Community to participate in our Free Live Market Volatility Trading Room Session every Monday and Wednesday at 8:15 am CST. Click Here To Join |
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Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is a clean energy and automobile company that I will be looking into in October, during the market's presently oversold condition. Tesla shares sold off on Thursday and Friday and lost nearly 2% in the last 5 days of trading. |
The market remains oversold, but as I stated, there is a multi-week rally bubbling up as soon as November or possibly December. Earnings should provide an initial boost, while midterm elections also provide market clarity. If the market were to bounce back for a short period, I would be looking into this consumer-sector leader to counter the weakness seen in tech. Likewise, this move could also be supported by the latest movement of the dollar, which neared a 20-year high... |
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All of these profits were banked for the exact same reason - and it happens during inflationary times with recession just around the corner. It's easier to find these trades than you think. And you can multiply them as much as 90 times over. Today, I'm going to show you how to potentially make money with JPM by October 13th! |
(A portion of Yellow Tunnel sales will go to directly help the Ukrainian people) |
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CURRENT TRADING LANDSCAPE |
As of Friday, the 5-day chart shows the $SPY was trading 1.41% lower, just over $361. The S&P 500 continued its selloff on Friday as the latest movement in the bond market appeared to weigh on assets throughout the market. Likewise, oil and gold traded lower throughout the week, though gold was traded slightly higher on Friday. Global markets saw back-and-forth action throughout the week, with European markets closing higher on Friday while Asian markets remained mixed. Reviewing the above levels of the SPY seasonal chart with the latest news in mind, it is clear the latest market pullback is underway. The dollar has spiked to a 20-year high while a Treasury-ignited selloff took place. Action by the Bank of Japan and Bank of England, as well as previous comments from the FOMC, have added pressure to global markets. I am keeping an eye on overhead resistance levels in the SPY, which are presently around $376 and $390. The $SPY support level is at $360 and then $350. Short-term, the market appears to be oversold and I believe the current pullback will continue for two to eight weeks, with the ability to break June/July lows.
Still, there is potential for the market to stage a multiple-week rally in the November-December timeframe. I would be a seller into any further rallies and encourage subscribers not to chase the market at these levels...
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After this week's policy updates and statements by foreign banks, most markets saw steep selloffs. It is clear the current bear market is in full effect and has not only formed its next leg down but also developed a bottom. Midterm elections and earnings are in front of us and there is potential for the market to stage a multi-week rally going into the final two months of 2022. If there is volatility ahead of us, I will be investing in one specific sector to profit from during any potential rallies. One of the most popular consumer ETFs is the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY), which has over $15 million in assets. The fund features retail, auto, consumer services, and the like and is one of my go-to's in the field. On Thursday, XLY sold off, along with the rest of the market, and closed near $145. The fund's 52-week high topped $215 and provided us plenty of room for the upside. See XLY Seasonal Chart above: |
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Market Volatility LIVE Trading Room Sessions Join Our Discord Community Every Monday and Wednesday at 8:15 am CST. Click Here To Join |
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NOTE: We encourage all subscribers to view the instructional videos on how to best use your membership and invite our members to participate in live weekly strategy roundtable workshops that are also archived for your convenience so that they can to be viewed at a later time. |
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To effectively trade in today's rapidly moving equity markets, active day traders and swing traders must stay ahead of market changes due to inflation, global uncertainty, politics, as well as innovations and technological changes used by hedge fund traders and proprietary trading firms. With traders like you in mind, we designed this intensive roundtable where you will deepen your understanding of all aspects of stock and options trading in today's changing market. |
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DISCLAIMER: Vlad and his team may have a financial interest in the picks as they trade many of the same equities and options they pick. Vlad Karpel and YellowTunnel (Company) is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. All investing strategies are made available to the general public on a regular basis. We do not provide personalized financial advice or investment recommendations. As an investor, you know that any kind of investment opportunity has its risks. There is no such thing as low-risk stocks and we recommend you invest wisely and that only risk capital should be used to trade. Investing in Stocks and Options is highly speculative. No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed here and on our website. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE SUCCESS: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators developed at YellowTunnel will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Nor should it be assumed that future picks will be profitable or will equal past performance. All of the content on our website and in our email alerts is for informational purposes only, and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. Remember, you should always consult with a licensed securities professional before purchasing or selling securities of companies profiled or discussed on YellowTunnel.com. Performance results that are discussed above are from the Live Trading Room, multiple YellowTunnel tools were used to achieve these results. Trade % Gain/Loss is calculated by dividing the $ Gain/Loss by the Max Risk which is the posted Stop Loss for the trade. Yellow Tunnel's performance data represents the average return on all trading recommendations from January 1, 2020, to today. *Win rate percentage reflects the average that Yellow Tunnel's software helped me identify a profitable investment strategy.** Triple-digit returns are not typical and are not intended to reflect the likelihood of similar returns in the future. |
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