2018年12月27日星期四

How "Fort Silicon Valley" will fight off a 2019 recession

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DECEMBER 27, 2018
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Bottled Lightning

Tech stocks are beaten back, but they can't defy the sheer gravitational force that will send them rocketing in 2019...

How "Fort Silicon Valley" Will Fight Off a 2019 Recession
By Michael A. Robinson, Defense and Tech Specialist, Money Morning

Editor's Note: Michael's paid-up Nova-X Report readers got a briefing on four huge tech catalysts for next year, plus even more great research recommendations to play them. (Click here to learn how to subscribe.) We'd like to share two of the biggest with you today. Here's Michael...

The other day I ran into a friend of mine, Mark, at the athletic club we frequent.

As we chatted, the subject of our conversation naturally shifted to the investing climate for 2019 - something I've been thinking about a lot lately.

So I started regaling Mark with stories about some of the exciting advances that will drive not just high-tech stocks higher, but the overall U.S. economy.

Then suddenly, Mark paused and asked, "Yeah, but aren't we going to have a recession next year?"

Now, I'm sharing this anecdote with you because I've been hearing a lot of people use the dreaded "R" word these days. I've lost track of how many times I've seen predictions of a recession in 2019. In fact, some of those predictions go all the way back to at least 2016, making this a bit of a cottage industry.

Most of these dire predictions have been based on simple calendar math, rather than the fundamentals.

Fact is, we will mark the 10th anniversary of the official end of the last recession in June. So, many pundits are predicting that we are bound to have another one in 2019, simply because the average period between these kinds of downturns is 6.5 years.

But the so-called experts are glossing over some very important economic data that I believe shows we are not likely to have two quarters in a row of negative GDP in 2019 - the official definition of a recession.

I'm actually optimistic about our ability to make money on tech stocks in the New Year. I've identified two major catalysts that will lead to a tech rebound over the next 12 months.

Not just a rebound, either, but an entirely new tech bull market... Full Story

Total Wealth



How to Play Harley's Worst Nightmare for Big Potential Profits (Again)
Our nation loves an underdog.

It's in our collective DNA because it makes us feel good.

Social scientists have a few theories as to why, but I think it comes down to people believing that there's a lot more to gain if there's an upset.

It doesn't matter whether we're talking about sports or money; people consistently play to their emotions.

Take Harley-Davidson Inc., for example.

The legendary American motorcycle maker is in deep trouble.

Shares are off more than 55% from their all-time high of $75.87 on Nov. 22, 2006.

Shipments are the lowest they've been in years, and dealers can't sell through the stock on hand at the speed they need to keep things moving - pun absolutely intended.

Plus, from 2014 to 2017, sales declined 9.33% - from $6.23 billion in 2014 to $5.65 billion in 2017.

Officially, the industry-wide story - at least as Harley tells it - is that the boomers are getting too old to ride, and the millennials just aren't interested.

I don't buy that.

We've followed Harley's "breakdown" for a while - and quite profitably at that. So here's what I recommend doing this time around for even more profits...

Click here to get Keith's Total Wealth updates on the best stocks to play and how to play them in the current markets. They're absolutely free, too.

Tom Gentile

You Could Become a Millionaire with These Three Simple Moves
Tom's known Atlanta Falcons Owner and self-made billionaire Arthur Blank for nearly 35 years. Today, he's sharing the secrets to Arthur's success. And they could just help you make your first million... Full Story

Special Interview

Here's the Easiest Way to Beat the Market in the New Year
However you slice it, the market's in pretty bad shape right now. That's why our Technical Trading Specialist sat down with Bill Patalon to discuss how the markets could shape up, and most importantly, how you can make money no matter what 2019 has in store... Full Story

Must See

Dig Deep Enough into This Decades-Old Legislation, and You Could Hit a Gold Mine
In the '70s, Congress made an amendment to the Public Buildings Act of 1959 - back then, this was Uncle Sam's way of helping everyday folks... but now, there's an incredible investment strategy at the root of this law, and it's worth $11.1 billion. Take a look...


Nova-X Report (Premium Content)

Here's Why 2019 Will Be "the Year of Big Tech"
Our Defense and Tech Specialist sees tech heading for a huge rebound in the New Year. And he's exploring this prediction in further detail by interviewing with our Bill Patalon to explain what's been impacting tech stocks and his 2019 investment strategy recommendation... Full Story

Private Briefing (Premium Content)

We've Spotted a New Bitcoin "Trigger" Hidden in Plain Sight
As part of a recent Lightning Round, our Bill Patalon asked Crypto Expert Dave Zeiler - who usually hosts this segment - to sit in the guest's chair. You see, Dave's here to give us the lowdown on Bitcoin and other crypto-related wealth plays, plus this latest "trigger"... Full Story

"Crash Insurance"

Don't Let These Zombie Stocks Drag Your Portfolio to Its Grave
These nine companies are trapped by their own debt - and if you own their stock, they'll kill your portfolio when they tank. Click here, and we'll automatically send you all future Profit Alerts on how to prepare for a devastating market crash.



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