2020年2月29日星期六

The #1 Insider Signal Every Trader Should Know

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Tracey Ryniec - Editor

The #1 Insider Signal Every Trader Should Know

By: Tracey Ryniec
Saturday, February 29


We love it when a famous CEO buys a large chunk of his company's stock.

In 2013, Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla, bought over a million shares of Tesla stock for $100 million even though he already had plenty of shares.

In June and October 2018, he was at it again with another two purchases totaling $35 million in shares.

All of these purchases made headlines.

When Elon Musk bought in 2013 and 2018, he was the only insider at Tesla buying at that time.

But what about when non-famous insiders buy their company's stock and when a bunch of them buy en masse?

This mass insider buying behavior is called a "cluster buy" and it is the strongest signal you can get in insider trading.

When one insider buys, he might be considered an optimist, but when three or four insiders all buy at the same time?

Now that's a powerful consensus.

But you're not going to hear about the cluster buys from the media. There aren't going to be headlines trumpeting the buys of a few corporate Directors and a CFO.

Nope. The cluster buy simply isn't glamorous enough.

Investors therefore have to dig below the surface to find the insider cluster buys. But once you do, that's where big rewards can be found.

Cluster Buying Sends the Strongest Signal

Why do insiders spend so much of their money on their own companies' stock when they already own a ton of shares already?

Greed!

Pure and simple.

The opportunity to make more money motivates people - even people who are already well off like highly paid CEOs and CFOs.

When insiders buy in a cluster, it's because they all know something very good is going on at the company. Maybe it is a new product. Or contract. Or pending merger. Whatever the reason, they are all very confident that shares will be on the rise.

After all, who would buy more stock in a company if they knew it was sinking? And why would there be several of them buying unless they didn't collectively believe that their stock was a value?

When things at the company are THAT good, insiders don't want to miss out when everyone else is cashing in. Call it insider peer pressure, if you will.

Continue Reading . . .

Real Life Cluster Buying

In 2018, there were some great examples of cluster buying in the energy sector.

In November and December 2018, as crude plunged to multi-year lows, the oil stocks, especially those of the exploration and production companies, saw swift sell-offs.

But nowhere were the insiders as eager to buy as at Matador Resources.

Eighteen corporate insiders bought thousands of shares in November and December of 2018, including a bunch of directors, the CEO and CFO. That is an enormous cluster buy.

By April 2019, shares had spiked 37% off the Dec 24, 2018 lows.

But it's not just the Matador insiders who are buying. In November and December 2018, clusters of other energy insiders were buying up their shares on the cheap too.

What did they know that they were so eager to jump in when the sell-off happened? Some even bought more shares as the stocks got cheaper and continued to buy in the summer of 2019.

With energy stocks again hitting multi-year lows in 2020, it wouldn't be surprising if the insiders jumped in again. This week's pullback only makes the share prices more attractive.

Buy When the Insiders Buy

When high level insiders buy, they are required to report the purchases to the SEC within 48 hours of the trade. The trade then becomes public information.

Hedge funds and other professional investors routinely use this information to get an edge on their trades.

For most of us, though, it's not easy to get access to the insider information.

While the media will tout the huge insider buys from celebrity CEO's like Elon Musk's October 2018 $10 million purchase, you'll almost never hear about the non-celebrity CEO's, or other top ranked officers when they buy their stocks.

The challenge is getting easy and reliable access to all the insider trades and then figuring out which ones to buy.

Where to Find the Cluster Buys

Anyone can go on the SEC website and get the insider trading information, but it's time consuming to search by individual companies.

Some investment firms collect the insider buying data and can provide it to you as a daily list. Have you ever seen one of those lists? The sheer number of companies can be overwhelming.

And those lists don't usually separate out the cluster buys, which sometimes take place on different days in the same week.

For example, if you're getting daily insider updates, you may not realize that the CEO bought on Monday but three directors bought on Tuesday. You may pass by those 'hidden' cluster buys without even realizing it.

Even if you got a list of the cluster buyers, how would you narrow it down to the stocks that are truly worth buying? If I'm going to buy when the insiders are buying, I want to buy only their top picks.

Insider Buying You Don't Want to Miss

To distill the most promising signals, Zacks' research team developed a strategy that monitors selected insider buying activity at companies that already show strong earnings and valuations.

Today only 5 stocks meet the demanding criteria of our Insider Trader portfolio.

We invite you to look into the portfolio now. You'll see live recommendations with substantial upside including an energy mid-cap where the CEO and CFO recently bought 20,000 shares of the company stock. Despite this week's sell-off, this position is up 80.3% over the past 30 days, and I believe it can still go higher after the market settles down.

As a bonus for exploring this and our other insider picks, you can download Zacks' Special Report, 5 Stocks Set to Double free of charge. These 5 buy-and-holds balance our more active Insider Trader moves. Each is the #1 favorite of a Zacks expert for its potential to jump +100% or more over the next year.

Important note: Access to the Insider Trader portfolio and Special Report is limited. This opportunity ends midnight Sunday, March 1.

See our insider trades and download 5 Stocks Set to Double now »

Good Investing,

Tracey Ryniec - signature
Tracey Ryniec

Tracey Ryniec, Zacks' insider and value strategist, is Editor in Charge of the Insider Trader.

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