Humans are irrational and the stock market is a very cold and calculating place. If you don't master your emotions you could fall victim to Market Cycle Psychology (MCP).
And MCP consists of 10 emotional states that are triggered by market cycles. Market cycles form patterns over time with different markets or business environments.
This leads to trends due to new developments such as product releases or breaking news.
This in turn affects trader sentiment. Because when market cycles go through several stages, we naturally react to it.
But there are too many traders that panic at the wrong moment, get trapped in denial, and fall to the sirens of greed.
To avoid this you must know of all the movements that happen within the market and how it will affect your emotional state.
You'll learn these 10 emotional states and best practices to keep yourself in check during their respective market cycles.
This way, you'll always have the mental fortitude to make the best trades that minimize risk and maximize profits…
No matter what the market is doing.
The 10 emotional states in MCP are:
- Hope
- Optimism
- Belief
- Thrill
- Euphoria
- Anxiety
- Denial
- Panic
- Anger
- Depression
Master the Cycle of Hope
Hope in a market cycle represents the initial entry point for investors. It can also represent starting recovery after a downturn or crash.
During this cycle, investors are hopeful about potential increases in volume and price because prices are still relatively low and the opportunities are promising. On the other hand, it can also create faith and patience in the face of a loss. If you ever thought:
- It's not lost yet
- I can still make it back
- I'll just hold a while longer
That's hope at work.
Being in this emotional state during this market cycle is healthy. It means you're willing to take action or have patience.
Although there's an obvious risk, you have to remember what the great Wayne Gretzky said: "You miss 100% percent of the shots you don't take."
Some investors are too scared to hope again or invest in the market because of previous downturns or crashes. But even in a downturn, that just means prices are now at a discount.
Bear markets suck, but it's important you have hope and not give in to fear.
One strong example of hope in the market cycle happened two years after the Great Recession of 2007. The S&P 500 climbed 68 percent in 2008 and 84 percent in 2009.
Investors who didn't give into the fear of selling, made great gains because they had hope.
And that same mentality should apply to any goal you take on. Every successful trader must hope for a better outcome with their investments. And the charts are right there to indicate that for you.
If you never give into the fear, hope will be your saving grace.
In the next article of this series, we'll go over the second emotional state in Market Cycle Psychology: Optimism
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