| You receive this email, because you signed up to get email from YellowTunnel newsletter on 04/05/22. If you no longer wish to receive any emails from YellowTunnel, please use the "Unsubscribe" link towards the bottom of this email. May 1tst, 2022 | Issue 128
Hello Traders, Now more than ever, more heads are better than one in which to successfully navigate this volatile market. To this point, I can't emphasize how vital it is for blog readers and members of the Yellow Tunnel community to keep referring to our Live Trading Room so as to maintain a strong pulse of how our AI platform is guiding in and out of trades. It's FREE and I want highly encourage everyone to sign up to the Live Trading Room and keep checking in throughout the trading day.
Every Monday and Wednesday I highlight our best strategies and potential trading setups via the DISCORD server. It's the future of bringing together a trading community's total services, educational products, live chat venues, support, news, how-to tutorials, webinars, live-trading demonstrations and tons of market analysis. It is incredibly interactive and full of crucial and timely information. Just go to:
When looking at the subsectors of the Nasdaq -namely software and semiconductors – there are busted charts galore where a lot of technical work will have to take place in which to repair the uptrends of so many once-popular stocks. The chip sector remains weighed down by ongoing shortages of the components needed to manufacture finished products with forecasts of supply relief being constantly pushed out for some key companies that supply a vast array of consumer and industrial products.
The market as a whole is in need of some bullish headlines regarding inflation. There prolonging of the war in Ukraine, lockdowns in China and supply chain constraints are certainly a drag on the global economy and market sentiment, but the primary narrative that could provide a bullish pivot to the bearish tone would be inflation data leveling off to where the Fed can dial back the hawkish rhetoric.
Fortunately for the domestic economy, the job market is very robust, affording consumer spending to remain healthy. This is the one silver lining among the storm clouds, but leave no doubt, some of these clouds have to clear out for the market to right itself.
To great returns, Vlad Karpel P.S. Please see below for access to the Power Trading Live Strategy Roundtable presentation I recorded on Thursday, April 28th. Click Here
P.P.S. Join our Discord Community to participate in our Free Live Trading Room Sessions every Monday and Wednesday at 8:15 am cst. Click Here To Join
TRADE IDEA OF THE WEEK Staying on theme, this week's pick is the same as our Sector Spotlight security highlighted - ProShares Short S&P 500 ETF (SH). The problem I see with this market is that this is the third time in as many months that the SPY is testing the 4,150-4,200 level. My data is signaling that this time the lows might well be taken out. If you hit on something long enough, many times it breaks, and it starts to feel that way.
When we apply SH to our AI-driven Forecast Toolbox for the near term, we get a Model Grade "B" rating with a Predicted Resistance price target of $16.68 which is 14% higher than where SH currently trades. A move to $16.86 would be a new 52-week high and imply the market buckling once again. Hence, with each oversold bounce, investors can leg into SH and protect their portfolios from material downside risk...
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CURRENT TRADING LANDSCAPE Traders should not be fooled by violent bear market rallies, such as what we saw on Thursday. Investor sentiment hasn't been this bearish since March 2009 during what was a complete set of different circumstances. Back then the Fed opened the spigot of fiscal stimulus and the market rebounded. This time around, the market is correcting while the Fed is set to raise short-term rates for the next three months.
As of Thursday's close, the $SPY closed higher 2.5%, at $428, below the 50 DMA and the 200 DMA. The value/reflationary ($VTV) closed higher 1.5%, at $145, right at the 50 DMA. The technology sector ($QQQ) closed higher 3.5%, at $328, below the 50 DMA and the 200 DMA.
The $DXY closed higher, near the $103.5 level, approaching the March 2020 high. The $TLT closed higher 0.1%, at $121, and below the July 2019 lows. The ten-year yield closed higher at 2.83%. The $VIX closed lower, near the 30 levels, above the historical average.
The $SPY short-term support level is at $420 followed by $410. The SPY overhead resistance is at $435 and then $441.
SECTOR SPOTLIGHT As per my opening comments, the technical damage is pretty severe, not just for the major indexes, but also for so many leading stocks that lead the bull market for the past several years. There are material-technical breakdowns in GOOG, PYPL, NFLX, SBUX, DIS, and NVDA. And there are many, many more former Wall Street favorites that have just as bearish charts as these notable stocks.
To this point, the rolling correction looks to keep hitting all the great stocks that are considered the market generals. When stocks like Proctor & Gamble (PG) become the "go-to" names for fund managers, then it sends a red flag up the pole that investors should take seriously. Grant there are stocks that will buck the trend as is always the case in any market correction, but that number is narrowing with each day.
It's a good time to hedge portfolios in the event key technical support for the S&P at 4,150 is taken out. Investors should consider utilizing ProShares Short S&P 500 ETF (SH), a 1x inverse ETF. As I noted the long-term primary bull uptrend is in place for S&P, but that level is down at 3,500 with 4,100 being the next level of key support. Join Our Discord Community
Participate in our Free Live Trading Room Sessions every Monday and Wednesday at 8:15 am cst.
NOTE: We encourage all subscribers to view the instructional videos on how to best use your membership and invite our members to participate in live weekly strategy roundtable workshops that are also archived for your convenience so that they can to be viewed at a later time.
TRADING CONCEPTS - VIDEO Market Analysis To effectively trade in today's rapidly moving equity markets, active day traders and swing traders must stay ahead of market changes due to inflation, global uncertainty, politics, as well as innovations and technological changes used by hedge fund traders and proprietary trading firms. With traders like you in mind, we designed this intensive roundtable where you will deepen your understanding of all aspects of stock and options trading in today's changing market.
DISCLAIMER: Vlad and his team may have a financial interest in the picks as they trade many of the same equities and options they pick. Vlad Karpel and YellowTunnel (Company) is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. All investing strategies are made available to the general public on a regular basis. We do not provide personalized financial advice or investment recommendations. As an investor, you know that any kind of investment opportunity has its risks. There is no such thing as low-risk stocks and we recommend you invest wisely and that only risk capital should be used to trade. Investing in Stocks and Options is highly speculative. No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed here and on our website. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE SUCCESS: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators developed at YellowTunnel will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Nor should it be assumed that future picks will be profitable or will equal past performance. All of the content on our website and in our email alerts is for informational purposes only, and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. Remember, you should always consult with a licensed securities professional before purchasing or selling securities of companies profiled or discussed on YellowTunnel.com. Performance results that are discussed above are from the Live Trading Room, multiple YellowTunnel tools were used to achieve these results. Trade % Gain/Loss is calculated by dividing the $ Gain/Loss by the Max Risk which is the posted Stop Loss for the trade. Yellow Tunnel's performance data represents the average return on all trading recommendations from January 1, 2020, to Today. *Win rate percentage reflects average that Yellow Tunnel's software helped me identify a profitable investment strategy.** Triple-digit returns are not typical and are not intended to reflect the likelihood of similar returns in the future. This email was sent to its028@gmail.com by info@yellowtunnel.com. Questions or inquiries regarding the website and/or service may be submitted via email to info@yellowtunnel.com. You may also complete our inquiry form located here.
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