The hideous, scary truth about "the curve"

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Join us today on Facebook Messenger for instant money updates and exclusive videos: Here's the Hideous, Scary Truth About Yield Curve Inversions By Tim Melvin, Special Situation Strategist, Money Morning The Martians have landed in New Jersey! Chinese Army tanks are rolling in the Chicago Loop! California has fallen into the ocean! Giant robots have kidnapped the Statue of Liberty! D.C. is in flames! The yield on 10-year Treasuries has fallen below the yield on three-month Treasuries! We are doomed! Enough already - yes, last week, the yield curve inverted. So, the conventional thinking goes, we'll have a recession. Right? Maybe. When? Don't know. It could be a month or two; it could be almost two years from now. The truth is, there has been a yield curve inversion before every recession - if you don't care how long it took for that recession to develop. The historical record shows the yield curve inverted a whopping 23 months before the economy slowed in the most recent recession. So, a yield curve inversion heralds a recession in kinda the same way baseball's Opening Day "causes" the World Series, or that being born is a leading cause of death. In other words, it's a bit of a stretch - and certainly nothing you'd want to make do-or-die investing decisions on. There's a much better, much more profitable way... Full Story Strategic Tech Investor Here's Why Apple Is Shifting to Services In 2012, Apple Inc. had little revenue from services to speak of, and now, it's close to a $40-billion-a-year business for the firm. That figure should ramp up substantially following the recent announcements from Apple unveiling its news, financing, gaming, and video product launches. Now here's the game-changer for Apple: all of its products being bundled together to keep the services business moving forward. Apple's done a phenomenal job in this. In fact, this is going to have much higher margins as time goes on than Apple is going to get from its hardware. There are 1.4 billion installed customers just on the IOS devices, so if you're already an Apple user, you just keep adding to that. I look at is as basically a stickier and stickier ecosystem. So now you've got news, the Apple TV subscription service, a smart credit card that tracks your spending... Bottom line, Apple's going to keep on building this bundle so it takes the 1.4 billion people who are into the device deeper in and keeps adding more revenue. It's a very simple model if you think about it. Apple keeps adding more marginal sales for almost no marginal cost, so I really think it's going to be big for the margins going forward. It's a buy at this level for sure - and an excellent candidate for picking up on dips, too. And we'll certainly be keeping an eye on Apple as it takes advantage of one of today's unstoppable tech trends and shifts toward mobile commerce. I think it's going to mean big things in the future for the firm... Click here for the latest updates on the biggest and best tech stocks to buy in today's market. Plus, you'll get my Strategic Tech Investor research updates, three times a week, absolutely free, and you'll be the first to know when I find something big. Pro Trading This One Number Will Show You Where Stocks Are Headed Next Though the S&P 500 is racing to an 11% gain this year, "question marks" like Brexit and the inverted yield curve are casting doubt on the rally. That's why we're bringing you the one number to watch that'll tell you where stocks are going over the next several weeks... Full Story Keith Fitz-Gerald Here's the Biggest Threat to Your Profits Right Now The recent inverted yield curve spooked investors, who kick-started a sell-off Wall Street cashed in on. There is a danger here, but it's not what you might think... Full Story Must See The 5G War Has Begun - Here's How It Could Make You Rich A "digital war" is being waged by the United States and China - and the stakes have never been higher. They're both racing to be the first to market this critical new technology... and the prize is an unprecedented potential $12.3 trillion in new wealth. To see how this could have a MASSIVE impact on your wallet, go here now. The 10-Minute Millionaire Insider (Premium Content) Here's What the Inverted Yield Curve Really Means D.R. made a recent appearance on Cheddar.com to reveal what the inversion means for the market and interest rates going forward... Full Story Private Briefing (Premium Content) Bill Answers Your Burning E-Commerce Questions Our Bill Patalon really enjoys responding to what he refers to as his "Hey Bill" notes - which are questions or requests for help that he receives from his readers. Here's the latest round of questions and answers in regards to China's e-commerce and digital payments market... Full Story Best Investments Here Are the Best Stocks to Buy Now One of these firms is an industry leader in dividend yield and in-store growth, and it's trading at a 31% discount. Another will deliver absolute gains regardless of the markets. Just click here to see all our best stocks to buy, and as a bonus, you'll also get our future investment recommendations sent directly to you. Your Membership Membership Info... Member ID: its028@gmail.com  Member Since: November 2018 Rewards Points: 690 View Your Benefits Contact Us: 888.384.8339 Write to Us More Investing Resources... Daily Market Overview Key Stock Data Special Reports & Guides Sector Research ABOUT MONEY MORNING Money Morning is here to help investors profit handsomely on this seismic shift in the global economy. In fact, we believe this is where the only real fortunes will be made in the months and years to come. 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