By Jeff Clark, editor, Market Minute “Man, this stinks!” My oldest son, Grant, texted me yesterday, “I haven’t made a trade in two weeks. And I still can’t find anything that looks good.” Of course, I understand the frustration. When you trade for a living, and your monthly rent payment depends on your ability to profit, it’s hard to look at the computer screen and do nothing. You want to do something, anything, to justify your efforts. “Don’t force any trades, son,” I advised. “You’ll end up violating your discipline. You’ll take on more risk than you should. And, you’ll be worse off. It’s better for you to be frustrated and bored, than to be foolish and broke.” | Recommended Link | | Tech Executive Makes Shocking Confession
For three decades, Jeff Brown has been both a highly respected angel investor and a high-level tech executive. Recently, as part of his work, Jeff received some shocking news. Instead of wallowing in despair… He considers himself lucky, and he wants to share why. Jeff believes the technology that revealed this startling information is set for a decade-long bull run. And he wants to show you how you can profit from that wave. | | | -- | Then, I explained why it’s probably a good time for him to take a vacation. Because the choppy, sloppy action we’ve seen in the market lately is likely to stick around for a few more weeks. At least, that’s what our crystal ball says. Regular readers know I refer to Volatility Index (VIX) option prices as a crystal ball to predict the future market direction. When VIX call options are significantly more expensive than the equivalent put options, volatility is set to increase. And, that usually goes along with a falling stock market. Free Trading Resources Have you checked out Jeff's free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career – at zero cost to you. Just click here to check it out. | When VIX puts are much more expensive than VIX calls, the opposite is true. Volatility is likely to contract. And, that’s usually when stocks rally. At the moment, VIX calls and puts are just about equally priced. That means the VIX probably isn’t going anywhere, and neither is the stock market. For example, when the VIX was trading at 20.70 yesterday, the VIX April 7 $21 calls were trading for $1.50. The VIX April 7 $21 puts were trading for about $1. The call options were slightly more expensive than the puts. That suggests the VIX will likely be higher one week from today. And, that means stocks will probably be lower. But, the price difference in the options is not large enough to indicate that we’ll see a BIG move in volatility, or in the stock market, over the next week – just more of the same choppy and sloppy action that has kept the S&P 500 in a tight trading range for the past few weeks. If we glance out a little further, the picture looks the same… Available Now: New Retirement Blueprint from America's Most Trusted Options Trader With the VIX at 20.70, the April 21 $21 calls were trading yesterday for $2.30. The VIX April 21 $21 puts were priced at $1.70. Here again, the VIX calls are more expensive than the puts. So, the bears have a slight edge in the market over the next three weeks. But, the difference in VIX option prices isn’t enough to suggest a big move. It certainly isn’t enough of a difference to justify taking an aggressive stance in one direction over the other. Instead, based on the look of the crystal ball, this is probably a pretty good time for traders to take a vacation. “The good news though,” I mentioned to Grant, “is if the market can keep chopping around for a couple more weeks, it’ll build up plenty of energy to fuel the next really big move. You’ll have plenty of trades to make then.” Best regards and good trading, 
Jeff Clark Reader Mailbag In today’s mailbag, Market Minute subscriber David thanks Jeff and Larry for their trading advice… Hi Jeff, thank you for writing this article. You definitely hit the nail on the head about looking back at trades that continued to move in the direction you wanted it to go. I’ve been trading for ten years and know that I have a long way to go in my career. But I feel like I’m finally getting the foundation laid out that helps me gain money and lose less. Taking profits is a big rule that I have. It’s from many times of staying in the trade, hoping for it to continue on, only to lose all of my profit because it decided to reverse direction. I like Larry’s way of saying it too – “put a ‘P’ on the paper every day.” Thank you for your insight, and very good advice that you continue to give the trading community. – David Thank you, as always, for your thoughtful comments. We look forward to reading them every day. Keep them coming – and send us any questions – at feedback@jeffclarktrader.com. In Case You Missed It… Ex. Hedge Funder's Angry Rant Goes Viral (400K+ Views) Teeka Tiwari – America's No. 1 Investor – just made an outrageous prediction. Recorded live from his living room couch… He blasts Congress, reveals nasty truths about America… And reveals one technology set to radically change our nation. Already, 400,000+ viewers have checked it out. WARNING: This video may make you furious. Watch His Urgent Video Now. 
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