Over the last few weeks, we saw a massive rotation out of tech in favor of small cap stocks. All on higher hopes the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year.
However, while it has created plenty of tech turmoil, the pullback is overdone. In fact, if we look at the bigger picture, there’s still substantial opportunity ahead with expansions, earnings, and massive expected spending in artificial intelligence.
All of which will fuel further tech upside.
That being said, we’d use weakness in tech as an opportunity.
Look at Nvidia (NVDA) for example.
After pulling back from about $140 to $114.21, it’s just starting to pivot higher again.
Helping, analysts at Citi just reiterated its buy rating on the stock, with a $150 price target. All after Nvidia announced a new service that will boost generative AI for enterprises. Piper Sandler raised its price target to $140, believing the company could beat revenue by $2 billion this quarter. Even Loop Capital also raised its price target to $175 with a buy rating.
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
Beaten-down shares of AMD is also an opportunity.
At $141 support, it’s also oversold on RSI, MACD and Williams’ %R and could rally back to $190 near-term. Helping, analysts at Roth MKM, Wells Fargo, TD Cowen and Citi have all raised their price targets on the AMD stock. Citi, for example, just raised its price target to $210 from $176, with a buy rating. They expect for second quarter earnings season to be a strong catalyst for semiconductor stocks.
A moving average is a lagging indicator because it naturally must have the price for a period before it can incorporate that period into the average. A 20-day moving average lags prices, taking longer to make turns but flowing smoothly through some indecisive price wiggles that traders might want to avoid.
One simple application is that, if prices are above the moving average, you should be long; if prices are below the moving average, you should be short. This strategy catches the early long move but doesn’t do as well in the choppy periods that usually occur.
Weighted and Exponential Moving Averages
Believing that recent price action is more important than old price action, some moving averages put more weight on the latest prices. A 10-day weighted moving average, for example, multiplies the current period’s price by 10, the previous period’s price by 9, the price before that by 8 and so on down to the price 10 days ago being multiplied by 1. The sum of those numbers is divided by 10 to get the weighted moving average.
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