2018年12月31日星期一

How we've been profiting in a wild oil market

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Oil Markets

The profitable volatility we've seen should give way to more "traditional" ways of making money in crude...

How We've Been Profiting on Oil's Wild Moves
Crude's whipsaw "roller-coaster ride" won't last forever

By Dr. Kent Moors, Global Energy Strategist, Money Morning

Government shutdowns, geopolitical angst, protracted instability inside the Beltway, and outright market manipulation are combining to make this a profoundly volatile, unsettling time.

On Wednesday, for instance, both West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the benchmark crude rate set in New York, and Brent, the more widely used oil trading standard set in London, spiked ferociously - more than for any one session in well over a decade. WTI ended trading up by 8.7%; Brent by 8%.

With these spikes coming after historic price declines, everyone in the media is now looking for the oil price "floor" that can enable steadier upward moves.

I don't expect that floor to be a factor until into 2019. Year-end tax sales, low holiday volume, and institutional portfolio adjustments mean any floor, if it shows up, probably won't register until January.

And yet, these kinds of violent swings can be remarkably profitable. Late last week, my Energy Inner Circle readers following along got the chance to close out a 1,000% profit on a Brent "straddle" - a call and a put expiring on the same date at different strike prices - that saw us play the "up" and the "down."

There are three things in play right now obscuring the "floor" and keeping crude prices untamable, but that will ultimately give way to a much smoother, upward price trend... Full Story

The Long View



The Three Big Things to Take into 2019
No matter where you look, you seem to see bad, or at least challenging conditions.

And yet...

There are always going to be challenges; there will always be underwhelming or outright scary headlines. But we've never had a problem looking beyond those to the market's juiciest opportunities.

What's more, whether the market moves up, down, sideways, or anywhere in between, it just doesn't matter. We'll stick to the time-tested, proven Total Wealth approach: playing the six Unstoppable Trends, picking our moves carefully, and building a fortune along the way.

And last but by no means least: This volatility that has Wall Street and the media over a barrel is nothing for us to fear. In fact, I welcome it. Price action like this is tailor-made to generate profits. You can't make money if stocks don't move.

Enjoy your New Year holiday, take some time to celebrate with family and friends, and get ready for an awesome, profitable 2019.

I'll be with you every step of the way.

Click here to for an instant, free subscription to Keith's Total Wealth research service. You'll get all his best ideas for the year ahead, starting now.

Shah Gilani

Don't Wait Around for an "Official" Bear Market
Crack any textbook, and you'll read that a bear market begins when stocks have shed 20% of their value. If you stick around waiting for that to happen, you're not only missing an opportunity, but you're also needlessly risking everything... Full Story

Tom Gentile

These Could Make You Your First (or Second) Million
Before you can start raking in double- and triple-digit winners hand over first, there are three simple things to take care of... Full Story

Must See

Step Aside, Big Oil...
Oil just had its worst month in a decade... and I'm willing to bet its big expiration date is rapidly approaching... luckily, there's a 36,000-year supply of energy just waiting to be tapped... and if you act quickly, you could join the ranks as a newly minted millionaire. Details...


Keith Fitz-Gerald (Premium Content)

Our Next 100% Winner Is Almost There
We're closing in fast on a doubler here - before that happens, get ready with this move... Full Story

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