2018年12月28日星期五

What you need to know about cannabis mergers

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DECEMBER 28, 2018
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M&A DNA

Deals in the cannabis sector work a little differently than elsewhere. The profits can be bigger, too...

What You Need to Know About High-Profit Marijuana Mergers
By Greg Miller, Director of Cannabis Investing Research, Money Morning

We've seen time and again how "takeover targets" provide the opportunity for truly explosive gains. The right company finds the right buyer, and investors gleefully strap in for a virtually instantaneous double- or triple-digit ride.

Dealmaking in general has done some "exploding" of its own over the past few years. 2018 broke records, with some $3.3 trillion worth of dried ink in place by September. That figure was bolstered by the advent of so-called "megadeals" worth more than $5 billion.

Companies have finally figured out the mother of all corporate no-brainers: If you can't beat 'em... buy 'em.

They've realized there's no point in throwing millions (or billions) of your - scratch that, your shareholders' - dollars at a thorny R&D, tech, or PR problem when you can just ride out, find some smaller company that's already done the work, and... acquire, acquire, acquire.

So, when we come across a frenzy of M&A activity in an already rapidly growing, high-profit sector like legal cannabis, it pays to stop and take a good hard look at what's happening.

Let's take a look at how powerful a moneymaker marijuana deals could be next year... Full Story

The Long View



Why I'm Not Worried About 2018's Market Correction
I'll never forget that fateful "Black Monday," when the stock market crashed by 22.6% on Oct. 19, 1987. At the time, I was the San Francisco bureau chief for American Banker, a trade journal and "bible" of the industry.

My boss called from New York to talk about the crash.

"It's kaboom," he said.

"No," I deadpanned, "Wall Street is having a sale."

When I left work later that day, I felt as though I was among the walking wounded. Folks all over the city's financial district looked as though they found out that someone had killed their cat and stole their Porsche.

But I was very upbeat. As a student of the markets, I knew that we were just handed a great buying opportunity to pick up beaten-down stocks at rock-bottom prices. I also figured the downturn would end relatively quickly.

And that's just how events played out. The S&P 500 bottomed out Nov. 30, 1987 to close at 223.92, according to data from Yahoo Finance. Almost a year to the day after that crash, the S&P 500 closed at 347.16 - an impressive 55% gain from the bottom.

In fact, the best was yet to come: The bull market quickly re-located its legs and ran until March 2000, handing savvy investors gains of 582% along the way.

As impressive as that is, it pales in comparison when you "zoom" all the way out.

The market recently peaked with the S&P 500 closing at 2,925.51 on Oct. 3. The total gains from the "Black Monday" crash to the most recent peak? A cool 1,206%.

That would be enough to turn a $20,000 stake invested on Oct. 20, 1987 into $281,200 - without investing another dime. Of course, dollar cost averaging along the way would have piled on even more profits.

Now you know why I always tell investors to take the long view.

To help you along with that, I've released a special Money Morning tech forecast that shows you two ways tech will come riding to the rescue in the next 12 months.

Just click here, and it's yours, absolutely free. You'll get a complimentary subscription to my Strategic Tech Investor research service, too.

Tim Melvin

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