Stocks Add To Their Gains On Growing Trade Optimism Stocks added to their gains again with all of the major indexes up 1.25% or more. And so far for the week, we're up nearly 3%. Another solid day today could get us over that mark, and finish off a tough month on a strong note. Renewed trade optimism continues to buoy the market. That was underscored yesterday when China's Ministry of Commerce indicated they wouldn't immediately retaliate against the U.S. over the latest round of new tariffs. He said he believes both sides should be discussing "removing the new tariffs to prevent escalation of the trade war." The U.S. and China are expected to meet for more face to face negotiations sometime in September. In the meantime, a little less than half of the $300 billion in new tariffs are supposed to go into effect on Sunday, September 1st. President Trump has already postposed more than half of those new tariffs until December 15th. Traders, and China, will be looking to see if the U.S. delays the rest, much like they did ahead of their June talks. Either way, the markets cheered the softer tone. And while nobody is expecting a full-fledged deal next month, there's plenty of hope that real progress can be made, and that a pathway towards an agreement can be found. Traders also appear confident that we'll get another rate cut when the Fed meets again on September 18th. With odds at more than 90% that we do, the only real question seems to be if they'll cut by 25 basis points or 50 basis points. Given the long, three-day holiday weekend coming up (the markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day), anything can happen today. But the momentum this week has been decidedly bullish. And with our full year GDP on pace for 2.6%, which is stronger than the average annual GDP of this entire 10½ year expansion, unemployment near record lows, and consumer confidence near record highs, it should be. These truly are historic times for our economy. And historic times for the market. So make sure you're talking full advantage of it. Have a Happy Labor Day. See you on Tuesday, Kevin Matras Executive Vice President, Zacks Investment Research |
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